
Tropical Storm Sara: What Went Wrong?
Tomer Burg | 16 November 2024 | Current Weather
Tomer Burg | 16 November 2024 | Current Weather

February Outlook: Mild Start, Colder & Snowier End
Tomer Burg | 23 January 2024 | Current Weather
Tomer Burg | 23 January 2024 | Current Weather

January 15-16, 2024: Breaking the I-95 Snow Drought
Tomer Burg | 15 January 2024 | Current Weather
Tomer Burg | 15 January 2024 | Current Weather

Two aspects have been notably missing until now: widespread cold, and snow in the major I-95 Mid Atlantic cities. The first changed this weekend as a major cold outbreak is underway across North America. The second is about to change tonight, as a minor to moderate snow event brings the first widespread snow event above 1-3 inches to the I-95 corridor in nearly two years, which this post reviews from a synoptic and mesoscale perspective.
Tropical Storm Fiona: Challenging Forecast Ahead
Tomer Burg | 15 September 2022 | Current Weather
Tomer Burg | 15 September 2022 | Current Weather

This forecast post is generally oriented at the public, analyzing the latest observations with Tropical Storm Fiona, why the forecast is so uncertain, and some key points to keep in mind over the next few days as we continue to monitor Fiona.
Weather Update: Tropics - And CONUS - Are Heating Up
Tomer Burg | 29 August 2022 | Current Weather
Tomer Burg | 29 August 2022 | Current Weather

Today's post looks at the ongoing tropical activity, focusing on Typhoon Hinnamnor and Invest 91L and their respective track and intensity uncertainties, as well as the heat expected over the CONUS and how the amplifying ridge may affect Invest 91L downstream.
GFS May Hurricane: More Fiction Than Reality
Tomer Burg | 15 May 2022 | Current Weather
Tomer Burg | 15 May 2022 | Current Weather

Deterministic models such as the GFS only depict one of many possible outcomes; ensembles are better suited for determining the range of possible solutions. But like any model, ensembles are susceptible to their own set of biases, such as false alarms for tropical cyclogenesis in the region. All these factors suggest to take the GFS forecast with high caution.
Late-Season Snowstorm Set to Impact the Northeast U.S.
Tomer Burg | 18 April 2022 | Current Weather
Tomer Burg | 18 April 2022 | Current Weather

This post will provide a moderately in-depth overview of what is causing this cyclone to develop and to produce heavy snow, and a look into potential snow totals and other non-snow impacts in the region.