☰
Tomer Burg•PhD
Welcome to my blog! This space will be used for posts on topics relating to current weather, research discussion, and occasional non-weather topics. Check out the latest post below, or head on over to the archive for older posts!
All Archived Posts
Current Weather
Meteorology Analysis
Non-Weather Posts
Tropical Storm Sara: What Went Wrong?
Tomer Burg • 16 November 2024 • Current Weather
Tropical Storm Sara is currently producing torrential rainfall and flooding across portions of Central America, and is expected to make landfall in Belize as a weak tropical storm before dissipating inland, with remnant moisture spreading into the southeast U.S. But this was not the original forecast – just a few days ago, many models were consistently showing a hurricane or major hurricane approaching Florida. This post looks at why models showed that outcome, and where the forecast went wrong.